Crypto Maker

As of 2026-10-26 01:45 PM ET · real money, posted automatically every 15s (z-gated: only in the last 15 minutes of an hourly BTC/ETH market, favourite ≥ 90c)

Could not fully read the exchange: 404 Client Error: Not Found for url: https://external-api.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/portfolio/orders/01a0a030-6bb8-7cd2-8031-9f8787fa2633 {"error":{"code":"not_found","message":"not found"}}; 404 Client Error: Not Found for url: https://external-api.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/portfolio/orders/01a0a51e-a0b8-7bb4-be4f-e01241e457ca {"error":{"code":"not_found","message":"not found"}}; 404 Client Error: Not Found for url: https://external-api.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/portfolio/orders/01a0a557-2960-7031-83e3-470e347af560 {"error":{"code":"not_found","message":"not found"}}
Figures below are incomplete. Nothing is filled in from local records.

Capital

Committed $4.21 of a $140.00 cap · 8 resting, 0 filled · cash $406.86

Gate

Edge table: generated 2026-10-26T13:49:26.686616+00:00 · fresh

Maker-eligible favourite: n=44318 misses=170 rate=0.38% upper95=0.45% fair≤0.9955 break-even≤0.9954

Take population (ask≤0.98 at first z≥3.0): n=233 misses=2 upper95=3.08% break-even≤0.9687 · needs n≥200 and 20 graded fills

Kill (1) 7 days / 0 fills: no (1245.07 filled) · Kill (2) mean net ≤ 0 at 20 fills: FIRED

A kill has fired -- the maker is refusing to post.

Resting orders

Priced on the leg we actually pay, not the YES leg Kalshi quotes them at.

tickersidecontractscost
KXEARNINGSMENTIONBA-26OCT27-F47NO10.66
KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT26-ILLENO10.43
KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT26-FRAUNO10.39
KXEARNINGSMENTIONPYPL-26OCT27-CASHNO10.70
KXEARNINGSMENTIONBA-26OCT27-STARNO10.39
KXEARNINGSMENTIONBA-26OCT27-CHINNO10.56
KXEARNINGSMENTIONBA-26OCT27-WIDENO10.64
KXEARNINGSMENTIONHLT-26OCT27-COMPNO10.44

Filled positions

tickersidecontractsat_risk
None

Every post

tickeractionpricezcellbreak-evenqueue aheadfilledposted at
KXBTCD-26SEP1410-T77599.99post96c---9?2026-09-14 13:52
KXETHD-26SEP1509-T2494.99post98c3.67ETH/300-600/3+0.99380?2026-09-15 12:50
KXETHD-26SEP1510-T2469.99post98c3.48ETH/300-600/3+0.99398?2026-09-15 13:52
KXETHD-26SEP1510-T2464.99post98c3.06ETH/120-300/3+0.998222?2026-09-15 13:55
KXETHD-26SEP1511-T2429.99post98c3.31ETH/300-600/3+0.99390?2026-09-15 14:51
KXETHD-26SEP1514-T2419.99post98c3.53ETH/300-600/3+0.99410?2026-09-15 17:51
KXETHD-26SEP1614-T2349.99post98c3.79ETH/300-600/3+0.9950?2026-09-16 17:50
KXETHD-26SEP1614-T2354.99post98c3.33ETH/300-600/3+0.99545?2026-09-16 17:52
KXBTCD-26SEP1810-T80699.99post98c3.51BTC/300-600/3+0.99622?2026-09-18 13:50
KXBTCD-26SEP1810-T80599.99post97c3.05BTC/300-600/3+0.99620?2026-09-18 13:50
KXBTCD-26SEP1810-T81099.99post97c3.78BTC/300-600/3+0.99625?2026-09-18 13:51
KXBTCD-26SEP1810-T80999.99post95c3.33BTC/300-600/3+0.996246?2026-09-18 13:51
KXETHD-26SEP1814-T2584.99post98c3.14ETH/300-600/3+0.99610?2026-09-18 17:51
KXETHD-26SEP2300-T2759.99post98c3.66ETH/600-900/3+0.993922?2026-09-23 03:45
KXBTCD-26SEP2305-T86199.99post97c3.21BTC/300-600/3+0.996936?2026-09-23 08:51
KXBTCD-26SEP2305-T86099.99post98c3.33BTC/120-300/3+0.999216?2026-09-23 08:57
KXETHD-26SEP2317-T2699.99post98c4.72ETH/600-900/3+0.99420?2026-09-23 20:45
KXBTCD-26SEP2510-T82999.99post98c3.01BTC/600-900/3+0.9960?2026-09-25 13:48
KXBTCD-26SEP2510-T84399.99post98c3.22BTC/300-600/3+0.99750?2026-09-25 13:50
KXETHD-26SEP2617-T2649.99post98c3.48ETH/600-900/3+0.99520?2026-09-26 20:48
KXBTCD-26SEP2717-T84999.99post98c6.02BTC/600-900/3+0.99643?2026-09-27 20:46
KXETHD-26SEP2722-T2674.99post98c3.01ETH/300-600/3+0.9980?2026-09-28 01:50
KXBTCD-26SEP2722-T84399.99post98c3.40BTC/300-600/3+0.997820?2026-09-28 01:51
KXETHD-26SEP2902-T2649.99post97c3.23ETH/600-900/3+0.995735?2026-09-29 05:45
KXETHD-26SEP2908-T2749.99post98c3.81ETH/300-600/3+0.99810?2026-09-29 11:50
KXETHD-26SEP2908-T2719.99post89c3.56ETH/300-600/3+0.99810?2026-09-29 11:51
KXETHD-26SEP2910-T2749.99post97c3.05ETH/600-900/3+0.99583?2026-09-29 13:45
KXETHD-26SEP2910-T2699.99post98c3.14ETH/600-900/3+0.995845?2026-09-29 13:47
KXETHD-26OCT0111-T2734.99post98c3.76ETH/600-900/3+0.99598?2026-10-01 14:45
KXETHD-26OCT0111-T2729.99post98c3.31ETH/600-900/3+0.995914?2026-10-01 14:45
KXETHD-26OCT0112-T2699.99post98c3.01ETH/300-600/3+0.998220?2026-10-01 15:51
KXETHD-26OCT0317-T2709.99post98c11.78ETH/600-900/3+0.99630?2026-10-03 20:47
KXBTCD-26OCT0417-T85999.99post95c3.25BTC/600-900/3+0.99750?2026-10-04 20:46
KXBTCD-26OCT0417-T85499.99post96c4.00BTC/600-900/3+0.99750?2026-10-04 20:47
KXBTCD-26OCT0509-T86199.99post98c3.08BTC/600-900/3+0.99744?2026-10-05 12:46
KXBTCD-26OCT0509-T85599.99post98c3.03BTC/300-600/3+0.998430?2026-10-05 12:50
KXETHD-26OCT0510-T2694.99post98c3.28ETH/600-900/3+0.996610?2026-10-05 13:46
KXBTCD-26OCT0510-T86499.99post98c3.05BTC/600-900/3+0.99746?2026-10-05 13:46
KXBTCD-26OCT0710-T82099.99post98c3.23BTC/600-900/3+0.99662?2026-10-07 13:48
KXETHD-26OCT0809-T2509.99post98c3.02ETH/600-900/3+0.99673?2026-10-08 12:49
KXBTCD-26OCT0810-T80999.99post98c3.21BTC/600-900/3+0.99672?2026-10-08 13:47
KXBTCD-26OCT0908-T83899.99post97c3.31BTC/600-900/3+0.996820?2026-10-09 11:47
KXETHD-26OCT0908-T2494.99post96c3.16ETH/600-900/3+0.996810?2026-10-09 11:47
KXETHD-26OCT0912-T2504.99post98c3.09ETH/600-900/3+0.996811?2026-10-09 15:45
KXBTCD-26OCT1112-T83699.99post98c5.36BTC/120-300/3+0.999240yes2026-10-11 15:56
KXBTCD-26OCT1115-T83799.99post97c3.25BTC/600-900/3+0.99735?2026-10-11 18:49
KXETHD-26OCT1218-T2509.99post98c3.14ETH/600-900/3+0.99720yes2026-10-12 21:46
KXBTCD-26OCT1218-T81999.99post98c3.59BTC/600-900/3+0.99680yes2026-10-12 21:48
KXSOLD-26OCT1310-T105.7499post97c3.07SOL/600-900/3+0.98360?2026-10-13 13:49
KXSOLD-26OCT1321-T108.9999post97c6.96SOL/600-900/3+0.98360?2026-10-14 00:49
KXSOLD-26OCT1400-T106.9999post97c3.69SOL/600-900/3+0.983610?2026-10-14 03:45
KXSOLD-26OCT1406-T107.2499post97c3.16SOL/600-900/3+0.983610?2026-10-14 09:49
KXSOLD-26OCT1411-T105.2499post98c3.28SOL/600-900/3+0.99040?2026-10-14 14:45
KXBTCD-26OCT1517-T81749.99post98c3.68BTC/300-600/3+0.99850yes2026-10-15 20:51
KXSOLD-26OCT1519-T106.9999post98c6.22SOL/600-900/3+0.99250?2026-10-15 22:45
KXSOLD-26OCT1521-T106.7499post98c6.12SOL/600-900/3+0.99250?2026-10-16 00:46
KXSOLD-26OCT1522-T106.7499post98c6.38SOL/600-900/3+0.99250?2026-10-16 01:45
KXSOLD-26OCT1609-T106.7499post98c3.89SOL/600-900/3+0.99410?2026-10-16 12:46
KXBTCD-26OCT1610-T81199.99post98c3.07BTC/300-600/3+0.99848?2026-10-16 13:52
KXSOLD-26OCT1618-T105.4999post98c5.55SOL/600-900/3+0.9940?2026-10-16 21:45
KXSOLD-26OCT1702-T106.2499post98c9.07SOL/600-900/3+0.9940?2026-10-17 05:45
KXSOLD-26OCT1703-T106.4999post98c10.59SOL/600-900/3+0.9940?2026-10-17 06:45
KXSOLD-26OCT1707-T106.4999post98c9.80SOL/600-900/3+0.9940?2026-10-17 10:45
KXSOLD-26OCT1709-T105.9999post98c10.62SOL/600-900/3+0.99530?2026-10-17 12:45
KXSOLD-26OCT1718-T103.9999post98c4.07SOL/600-900/3+0.99530?2026-10-17 21:45
KXSOLD-26OCT1800-T103.9999post98c3.49SOL/300-600/3+0.99590yes2026-10-18 03:51
KXXRPD-26OCT1813-T1.2799post96c3.20XRP/600-900/3+0.97642?2026-10-18 16:45
KXSOLD-26OCT1816-T99.2499post98c3.55SOL/600-900/3+0.99610?2026-10-18 19:46
KXXRPD-26OCT1821-T1.2999post97c3.34XRP/300-600/3+0.98550?2026-10-19 00:53
KXSOLD-26OCT1823-T105.9999TAKE93c3.19SOL/600-900/3+0.99610yes2026-10-19 02:49
KXXRPD-26OCT1900-T1.2999post96c3.14XRP/600-900/3+0.97624?2026-10-19 03:45
KXSOLD-26OCT1901-T105.2499post98c3.58SOL/600-900/3+0.99610yes2026-10-19 04:50
KXSOLD-26OCT2002-T105.4999post98c3.28SOL/600-900/3+0.996710?2026-10-20 05:45
KXSOLD-26OCT2009-T105.4999post98c3.43SOL/600-900/3+0.99720?2026-10-20 12:45
KXXRPD-26OCT2017-T1.3199post97c3.54XRP/600-900/3+0.982516?2026-10-20 20:45
KXBTCD-26OCT2020-T83199.99post98c3.28BTC/600-900/3+0.997415?2026-10-20 23:49
KXXRPD-26OCT2107-T1.3399post97c5.22XRP/600-900/3+0.982534?2026-10-21 10:45
KXXRPD-26OCT2115-T1.3999post98c3.54XRP/300-600/3+0.99020?2026-10-21 18:54
KXSOLD-26OCT2122-T107.4999post98c3.96SOL/600-900/3+0.997510?2026-10-22 01:45
KXXRPD-26OCT2213-T1.2999post97c3.36XRP/600-900/3+0.98570yes2026-10-22 16:50
KXETHD-26OCT2213-T2379.99post97c3.53ETH/300-600/3+0.9990yes2026-10-22 16:51
KXSOLD-26OCT2222-T105.2499post98c3.36SOL/600-900/3+0.9970yes2026-10-23 01:47
KXSOLD-26OCT2310-T105.7499post98c4.04SOL/600-900/3+0.99740yes2026-10-23 13:45
KXETHD-26OCT2310-T2429.99post98c3.05ETH/600-900/3+0.997940?2026-10-23 13:47
KXSOLD-26OCT2319-T103.7499post98c3.45SOL/600-900/3+0.99740?2026-10-23 22:45
KXETHD-26OCT2319-T2384.99post97c3.10ETH/600-900/3+0.997926yes2026-10-23 22:49
KXSOLD-26OCT2406-T100.4999post98c3.24SOL/600-900/3+0.99740no2026-10-24 09:49
KXXRPD-26OCT2415-T1.2599post97c7.42XRP/600-900/3+0.988218no2026-10-24 18:45
KXETHD-26OCT2417-T2359.99post98c3.57ETH/600-900/3+0.9980yes2026-10-24 20:45
KXSOLD-26OCT2417-T101.9999post98c3.20SOL/600-900/3+0.99760yes2026-10-24 20:45
KXSOLD-26OCT2420-T102.9999post98c3.59SOL/600-900/3+0.99760no2026-10-24 23:45
KXBTCD-26OCT2420-T80499.99post97c3.11BTC/600-900/3+0.997716no2026-10-24 23:45