Could not fully read the exchange: 404 Client Error: Not Found for url: https://external-api.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/portfolio/orders/01a0a030-6bb8-7cd2-8031-9f8787fa2633 {"error":{"code":"not_found","message":"not found"}}; 404 Client Error: Not Found for url: https://external-api.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/portfolio/orders/01a0a51e-a0b8-7bb4-be4f-e01241e457ca {"error":{"code":"not_found","message":"not found"}}; 404 Client Error: Not Found for url: https://external-api.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/portfolio/orders/01a0a557-2960-7031-83e3-470e347af560 {"error":{"code":"not_found","message":"not found"}}
Figures below are incomplete. Nothing is filled in from local records.
Committed $4.21 of a $140.00 cap · 8 resting, 0 filled · cash $406.86
Edge table: generated 2026-10-26T13:49:26.686616+00:00 · fresh
Maker-eligible favourite: n=44318 misses=170 rate=0.38% upper95=0.45% fair≤0.9955 break-even≤0.9954
Take population (ask≤0.98 at first z≥3.0): n=233 misses=2 upper95=3.08% break-even≤0.9687 · needs n≥200 and 20 graded fills
Kill (1) 7 days / 0 fills: no (1245.07 filled) · Kill (2) mean net ≤ 0 at 20 fills: FIRED
A kill has fired -- the maker is refusing to post.
Priced on the leg we actually pay, not the YES leg Kalshi quotes them at.
| ticker | side | contracts | cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| KXEARNINGSMENTIONBA-26OCT27-F47 | NO | 1 | 0.66 |
| KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT26-ILLE | NO | 1 | 0.43 |
| KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT26-FRAU | NO | 1 | 0.39 |
| KXEARNINGSMENTIONPYPL-26OCT27-CASH | NO | 1 | 0.70 |
| KXEARNINGSMENTIONBA-26OCT27-STAR | NO | 1 | 0.39 |
| KXEARNINGSMENTIONBA-26OCT27-CHIN | NO | 1 | 0.56 |
| KXEARNINGSMENTIONBA-26OCT27-WIDE | NO | 1 | 0.64 |
| KXEARNINGSMENTIONHLT-26OCT27-COMP | NO | 1 | 0.44 |
| ticker | side | contracts | at_risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| None | |||
| ticker | action | price | z | cell | break-even | queue ahead | filled | posted at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXBTCD-26SEP1410-T77599.99 | post | 96c | - | - | - | 9 | ? | 2026-09-14 13:52 |
| KXETHD-26SEP1509-T2494.99 | post | 98c | 3.67 | ETH/300-600/3+ | 0.9938 | 0 | ? | 2026-09-15 12:50 |
| KXETHD-26SEP1510-T2469.99 | post | 98c | 3.48 | ETH/300-600/3+ | 0.9939 | 8 | ? | 2026-09-15 13:52 |
| KXETHD-26SEP1510-T2464.99 | post | 98c | 3.06 | ETH/120-300/3+ | 0.9982 | 22 | ? | 2026-09-15 13:55 |
| KXETHD-26SEP1511-T2429.99 | post | 98c | 3.31 | ETH/300-600/3+ | 0.9939 | 0 | ? | 2026-09-15 14:51 |
| KXETHD-26SEP1514-T2419.99 | post | 98c | 3.53 | ETH/300-600/3+ | 0.9941 | 0 | ? | 2026-09-15 17:51 |
| KXETHD-26SEP1614-T2349.99 | post | 98c | 3.79 | ETH/300-600/3+ | 0.995 | 0 | ? | 2026-09-16 17:50 |
| KXETHD-26SEP1614-T2354.99 | post | 98c | 3.33 | ETH/300-600/3+ | 0.995 | 45 | ? | 2026-09-16 17:52 |
| KXBTCD-26SEP1810-T80699.99 | post | 98c | 3.51 | BTC/300-600/3+ | 0.9962 | 2 | ? | 2026-09-18 13:50 |
| KXBTCD-26SEP1810-T80599.99 | post | 97c | 3.05 | BTC/300-600/3+ | 0.9962 | 0 | ? | 2026-09-18 13:50 |
| KXBTCD-26SEP1810-T81099.99 | post | 97c | 3.78 | BTC/300-600/3+ | 0.9962 | 5 | ? | 2026-09-18 13:51 |
| KXBTCD-26SEP1810-T80999.99 | post | 95c | 3.33 | BTC/300-600/3+ | 0.9962 | 46 | ? | 2026-09-18 13:51 |
| KXETHD-26SEP1814-T2584.99 | post | 98c | 3.14 | ETH/300-600/3+ | 0.9961 | 0 | ? | 2026-09-18 17:51 |
| KXETHD-26SEP2300-T2759.99 | post | 98c | 3.66 | ETH/600-900/3+ | 0.9939 | 22 | ? | 2026-09-23 03:45 |
| KXBTCD-26SEP2305-T86199.99 | post | 97c | 3.21 | BTC/300-600/3+ | 0.9969 | 36 | ? | 2026-09-23 08:51 |
| KXBTCD-26SEP2305-T86099.99 | post | 98c | 3.33 | BTC/120-300/3+ | 0.9992 | 16 | ? | 2026-09-23 08:57 |
| KXETHD-26SEP2317-T2699.99 | post | 98c | 4.72 | ETH/600-900/3+ | 0.9942 | 0 | ? | 2026-09-23 20:45 |
| KXBTCD-26SEP2510-T82999.99 | post | 98c | 3.01 | BTC/600-900/3+ | 0.996 | 0 | ? | 2026-09-25 13:48 |
| KXBTCD-26SEP2510-T84399.99 | post | 98c | 3.22 | BTC/300-600/3+ | 0.9975 | 0 | ? | 2026-09-25 13:50 |
| KXETHD-26SEP2617-T2649.99 | post | 98c | 3.48 | ETH/600-900/3+ | 0.9952 | 0 | ? | 2026-09-26 20:48 |
| KXBTCD-26SEP2717-T84999.99 | post | 98c | 6.02 | BTC/600-900/3+ | 0.9964 | 3 | ? | 2026-09-27 20:46 |
| KXETHD-26SEP2722-T2674.99 | post | 98c | 3.01 | ETH/300-600/3+ | 0.998 | 0 | ? | 2026-09-28 01:50 |
| KXBTCD-26SEP2722-T84399.99 | post | 98c | 3.40 | BTC/300-600/3+ | 0.9978 | 20 | ? | 2026-09-28 01:51 |
| KXETHD-26SEP2902-T2649.99 | post | 97c | 3.23 | ETH/600-900/3+ | 0.9957 | 35 | ? | 2026-09-29 05:45 |
| KXETHD-26SEP2908-T2749.99 | post | 98c | 3.81 | ETH/300-600/3+ | 0.9981 | 0 | ? | 2026-09-29 11:50 |
| KXETHD-26SEP2908-T2719.99 | post | 89c | 3.56 | ETH/300-600/3+ | 0.9981 | 0 | ? | 2026-09-29 11:51 |
| KXETHD-26SEP2910-T2749.99 | post | 97c | 3.05 | ETH/600-900/3+ | 0.9958 | 3 | ? | 2026-09-29 13:45 |
| KXETHD-26SEP2910-T2699.99 | post | 98c | 3.14 | ETH/600-900/3+ | 0.9958 | 45 | ? | 2026-09-29 13:47 |
| KXETHD-26OCT0111-T2734.99 | post | 98c | 3.76 | ETH/600-900/3+ | 0.9959 | 8 | ? | 2026-10-01 14:45 |
| KXETHD-26OCT0111-T2729.99 | post | 98c | 3.31 | ETH/600-900/3+ | 0.9959 | 14 | ? | 2026-10-01 14:45 |
| KXETHD-26OCT0112-T2699.99 | post | 98c | 3.01 | ETH/300-600/3+ | 0.9982 | 20 | ? | 2026-10-01 15:51 |
| KXETHD-26OCT0317-T2709.99 | post | 98c | 11.78 | ETH/600-900/3+ | 0.9963 | 0 | ? | 2026-10-03 20:47 |
| KXBTCD-26OCT0417-T85999.99 | post | 95c | 3.25 | BTC/600-900/3+ | 0.9975 | 0 | ? | 2026-10-04 20:46 |
| KXBTCD-26OCT0417-T85499.99 | post | 96c | 4.00 | BTC/600-900/3+ | 0.9975 | 0 | ? | 2026-10-04 20:47 |
| KXBTCD-26OCT0509-T86199.99 | post | 98c | 3.08 | BTC/600-900/3+ | 0.9974 | 4 | ? | 2026-10-05 12:46 |
| KXBTCD-26OCT0509-T85599.99 | post | 98c | 3.03 | BTC/300-600/3+ | 0.9984 | 30 | ? | 2026-10-05 12:50 |
| KXETHD-26OCT0510-T2694.99 | post | 98c | 3.28 | ETH/600-900/3+ | 0.9966 | 10 | ? | 2026-10-05 13:46 |
| KXBTCD-26OCT0510-T86499.99 | post | 98c | 3.05 | BTC/600-900/3+ | 0.9974 | 6 | ? | 2026-10-05 13:46 |
| KXBTCD-26OCT0710-T82099.99 | post | 98c | 3.23 | BTC/600-900/3+ | 0.9966 | 2 | ? | 2026-10-07 13:48 |
| KXETHD-26OCT0809-T2509.99 | post | 98c | 3.02 | ETH/600-900/3+ | 0.9967 | 3 | ? | 2026-10-08 12:49 |
| KXBTCD-26OCT0810-T80999.99 | post | 98c | 3.21 | BTC/600-900/3+ | 0.9967 | 2 | ? | 2026-10-08 13:47 |
| KXBTCD-26OCT0908-T83899.99 | post | 97c | 3.31 | BTC/600-900/3+ | 0.9968 | 20 | ? | 2026-10-09 11:47 |
| KXETHD-26OCT0908-T2494.99 | post | 96c | 3.16 | ETH/600-900/3+ | 0.9968 | 10 | ? | 2026-10-09 11:47 |
| KXETHD-26OCT0912-T2504.99 | post | 98c | 3.09 | ETH/600-900/3+ | 0.9968 | 11 | ? | 2026-10-09 15:45 |
| KXBTCD-26OCT1112-T83699.99 | post | 98c | 5.36 | BTC/120-300/3+ | 0.9992 | 40 | yes | 2026-10-11 15:56 |
| KXBTCD-26OCT1115-T83799.99 | post | 97c | 3.25 | BTC/600-900/3+ | 0.997 | 35 | ? | 2026-10-11 18:49 |
| KXETHD-26OCT1218-T2509.99 | post | 98c | 3.14 | ETH/600-900/3+ | 0.9972 | 0 | yes | 2026-10-12 21:46 |
| KXBTCD-26OCT1218-T81999.99 | post | 98c | 3.59 | BTC/600-900/3+ | 0.9968 | 0 | yes | 2026-10-12 21:48 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT1310-T105.7499 | post | 97c | 3.07 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.9836 | 0 | ? | 2026-10-13 13:49 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT1321-T108.9999 | post | 97c | 6.96 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.9836 | 0 | ? | 2026-10-14 00:49 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT1400-T106.9999 | post | 97c | 3.69 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.9836 | 10 | ? | 2026-10-14 03:45 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT1406-T107.2499 | post | 97c | 3.16 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.9836 | 10 | ? | 2026-10-14 09:49 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT1411-T105.2499 | post | 98c | 3.28 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.9904 | 0 | ? | 2026-10-14 14:45 |
| KXBTCD-26OCT1517-T81749.99 | post | 98c | 3.68 | BTC/300-600/3+ | 0.998 | 50 | yes | 2026-10-15 20:51 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT1519-T106.9999 | post | 98c | 6.22 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.9925 | 0 | ? | 2026-10-15 22:45 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT1521-T106.7499 | post | 98c | 6.12 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.9925 | 0 | ? | 2026-10-16 00:46 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT1522-T106.7499 | post | 98c | 6.38 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.9925 | 0 | ? | 2026-10-16 01:45 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT1609-T106.7499 | post | 98c | 3.89 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.994 | 10 | ? | 2026-10-16 12:46 |
| KXBTCD-26OCT1610-T81199.99 | post | 98c | 3.07 | BTC/300-600/3+ | 0.998 | 48 | ? | 2026-10-16 13:52 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT1618-T105.4999 | post | 98c | 5.55 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.994 | 0 | ? | 2026-10-16 21:45 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT1702-T106.2499 | post | 98c | 9.07 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.994 | 0 | ? | 2026-10-17 05:45 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT1703-T106.4999 | post | 98c | 10.59 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.994 | 0 | ? | 2026-10-17 06:45 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT1707-T106.4999 | post | 98c | 9.80 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.994 | 0 | ? | 2026-10-17 10:45 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT1709-T105.9999 | post | 98c | 10.62 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.9953 | 0 | ? | 2026-10-17 12:45 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT1718-T103.9999 | post | 98c | 4.07 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.9953 | 0 | ? | 2026-10-17 21:45 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT1800-T103.9999 | post | 98c | 3.49 | SOL/300-600/3+ | 0.9959 | 0 | yes | 2026-10-18 03:51 |
| KXXRPD-26OCT1813-T1.2799 | post | 96c | 3.20 | XRP/600-900/3+ | 0.976 | 42 | ? | 2026-10-18 16:45 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT1816-T99.2499 | post | 98c | 3.55 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.9961 | 0 | ? | 2026-10-18 19:46 |
| KXXRPD-26OCT1821-T1.2999 | post | 97c | 3.34 | XRP/300-600/3+ | 0.9855 | 0 | ? | 2026-10-19 00:53 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT1823-T105.9999 | TAKE | 93c | 3.19 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.9961 | 0 | yes | 2026-10-19 02:49 |
| KXXRPD-26OCT1900-T1.2999 | post | 96c | 3.14 | XRP/600-900/3+ | 0.976 | 24 | ? | 2026-10-19 03:45 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT1901-T105.2499 | post | 98c | 3.58 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.9961 | 0 | yes | 2026-10-19 04:50 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT2002-T105.4999 | post | 98c | 3.28 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.9967 | 10 | ? | 2026-10-20 05:45 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT2009-T105.4999 | post | 98c | 3.43 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.9972 | 0 | ? | 2026-10-20 12:45 |
| KXXRPD-26OCT2017-T1.3199 | post | 97c | 3.54 | XRP/600-900/3+ | 0.9825 | 16 | ? | 2026-10-20 20:45 |
| KXBTCD-26OCT2020-T83199.99 | post | 98c | 3.28 | BTC/600-900/3+ | 0.9974 | 15 | ? | 2026-10-20 23:49 |
| KXXRPD-26OCT2107-T1.3399 | post | 97c | 5.22 | XRP/600-900/3+ | 0.9825 | 34 | ? | 2026-10-21 10:45 |
| KXXRPD-26OCT2115-T1.3999 | post | 98c | 3.54 | XRP/300-600/3+ | 0.9902 | 0 | ? | 2026-10-21 18:54 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT2122-T107.4999 | post | 98c | 3.96 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.9975 | 10 | ? | 2026-10-22 01:45 |
| KXXRPD-26OCT2213-T1.2999 | post | 97c | 3.36 | XRP/600-900/3+ | 0.9857 | 0 | yes | 2026-10-22 16:50 |
| KXETHD-26OCT2213-T2379.99 | post | 97c | 3.53 | ETH/300-600/3+ | 0.999 | 0 | yes | 2026-10-22 16:51 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT2222-T105.2499 | post | 98c | 3.36 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.997 | 0 | yes | 2026-10-23 01:47 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT2310-T105.7499 | post | 98c | 4.04 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.9974 | 0 | yes | 2026-10-23 13:45 |
| KXETHD-26OCT2310-T2429.99 | post | 98c | 3.05 | ETH/600-900/3+ | 0.9979 | 40 | ? | 2026-10-23 13:47 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT2319-T103.7499 | post | 98c | 3.45 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.9974 | 0 | ? | 2026-10-23 22:45 |
| KXETHD-26OCT2319-T2384.99 | post | 97c | 3.10 | ETH/600-900/3+ | 0.9979 | 26 | yes | 2026-10-23 22:49 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT2406-T100.4999 | post | 98c | 3.24 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.9974 | 0 | no | 2026-10-24 09:49 |
| KXXRPD-26OCT2415-T1.2599 | post | 97c | 7.42 | XRP/600-900/3+ | 0.9882 | 18 | no | 2026-10-24 18:45 |
| KXETHD-26OCT2417-T2359.99 | post | 98c | 3.57 | ETH/600-900/3+ | 0.998 | 0 | yes | 2026-10-24 20:45 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT2417-T101.9999 | post | 98c | 3.20 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.9976 | 0 | yes | 2026-10-24 20:45 |
| KXSOLD-26OCT2420-T102.9999 | post | 98c | 3.59 | SOL/600-900/3+ | 0.9976 | 0 | no | 2026-10-24 23:45 |
| KXBTCD-26OCT2420-T80499.99 | post | 97c | 3.11 | BTC/600-900/3+ | 0.9977 | 16 | no | 2026-10-24 23:45 |